Large-Risk Bet

Objective

This objective is like running a test. Despite some familiarity, almost everything we do is new to us.

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Purpose

With a Large-Risk Bet, we are predominantly in uncharted territory. It's akin to an experimental phase, where our knowledge offers only a sliver of guidance. The bulk of our actions comprise first-time endeavours. It's risky, with higher chances of unforeseen challenges, but the potential learnings and rewards make the gamble tempting.

Notes

“Large risk” is anything with a chance of succeeding between 10% to 40%.

Rules / Constraints

  • We have not (yet) defined rules or constraints.

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“Management by objective works—if you know the objectives. Ninety percent of the time, you don't.”

(Source: Peter Drucker)

“Eliminate numerical quotas, including Management by Objectives.”

(Source: W. Edwards Deming)